Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 0.000470 0.000525 0.000585 0.000658 0.000742 0.000839 0.000959
2025-01-19 0.000392 0.000467 0.000558 0.000678 0.000835 0.001037 0.001323
2025-01-26 0.000325 0.000405 0.000507 0.000651 0.000855 0.001143 0.001598
2025-02-02 0.000290 0.000373 0.000486 0.000655 0.000911 0.001305 0.001999
2025-02-09 0.000267 0.000355 0.000478 0.000672 0.000987 0.001511 0.002539
2025-02-16 0.000249 0.000338 0.000470 0.000686 0.001058 0.001724 0.003176
2025-02-23 0.000236 0.000329 0.000469 0.000711 0.001150 0.002001 0.004072
2025-03-02 0.000221 0.000314 0.000459 0.000717 0.001210 0.002232 0.004992
2025-03-09 0.000205 0.000296 0.000440 0.000705 0.001232 0.002387 0.005807
2025-03-16 0.000194 0.000283 0.000430 0.000707 0.001282 0.002622 0.007027
2025-03-23 0.000185 0.000274 0.000424 0.000715 0.001346 0.002914 0.008681
2025-03-30 0.000177 0.000267 0.000420 0.000728 0.001422 0.003268 0.010951
2025-04-06 0.000166 0.000253 0.000403 0.000714 0.001441 0.003485 0.013003
2025-04-13 0.000160 0.000248 0.000404 0.000737 0.001556 0.004060 0.017945
2025-04-20 0.000148 0.000232 0.000381 0.000706 0.001527 0.004152 0.020247
2025-04-27 0.000142 0.000224 0.000375 0.000711 0.001595 0.004630 0.026629
2025-05-04 0.000138 0.000221 0.000375 0.000730 0.001711 0.005370 0.038332
2025-05-11 0.000134 0.000216 0.000374 0.000745 0.001819 0.006170 0.055777
2025-05-18 0.000131 0.000215 0.000377 0.000773 0.001975 0.007345 0.090951
2025-05-25 0.000126 0.000209 0.000373 0.000780 0.002068 0.008296 0.138064
2025-06-01 0.000120 0.000201 0.000361 0.000766 0.002085 0.008835 0.186697
2025-06-08 0.000116 0.000195 0.000356 0.000769 0.002162 0.009857 0.297869
2025-06-15 0.000113 0.000191 0.000353 0.000778 0.002268 0.011238 0.547792